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© Copyright 2008-2015
R.J.O’Brien Market Research & Trading.
All rights reserved.

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Welcome. R.J.O'Brien Market Research & Trading is dedicated to providing commodity futures
and options traders the latest technical analysis and fundamental research on the financial,
agricultural, energy, foreign exchange, soft & metal markets.
Market Spotlight
 
 



(ES) RJOMRT Preview & Perspectives for Friday, Feb 27
Fundamentals
February 26, 2015; 6:59pm

  • U.S. GDP expected to be revised lower but personal consumption is expected to remain strong 
  • U.S. consumer confidence expected to be revised a bit higher
  • Chicago and Milwaukee PMIs expected to be mixed
  • U.S. pending home sales
  • Markets show little concern about DHS funding

(ES) Global Calendar - Friday 2/27/15
Fundamentals
February 26, 2015; 6:58pm

 Global Calendar - Friday 2/27/15

(CL) Commodity Calendar - Friday 2/27/2015
Fundamentals
February 26, 2015; 6:57pm

 Commodity Calendar - Friday 2/27/2015

(ES) Market Recap - Financials, Metals & Energy
Fundamentals
February 26, 2015; 6:56pm

The S&P 500 index on Thursday closed lower: S&P 500 -0.15%, Dow Jones -0.06%, Nasdaq +0.49%.  Negative factors included (1) the +31,000 increase in U.S weekly initial unemployment claims, more than expectations of +7,000, (2) the +0.3% increase in Jan durable goods orders ex-transportation, weaker than expectations of +0.5%, and (3) weakness in energy producers as crude oil fell.

(NG) EIA Weekly Nat Gas Storage Recap
Fundamentals
February 26, 2015; 9:36am

-Nat gas stocks decline less than expected
-Weekly stocks draw much larger than year ago/average
-Nat gas stocks remain in line with 5-year average



(C) CBOT Grains Morning Comments -by Randy Mittelstaedt
Fundamentals
February 26, 2015; 8:26am

-Optimism rises for Brazilian trucker resolution
-Disappointing Export Sales report
-China looks at large grain storage capacity increase
-Large producer shifting away biodiesel production capacity
-March contracts' first notice day tomorrow

(HG) Copper Reversal Digging In While Silver Stems Slide -by Dave Toth
Technicals
February 26, 2015; 8:10am

The extent and accelerated nature of this week's resumed rally above Feb's general 2.62-to-2.64-range resistance clearly reinforces the developing uptrend and with it the major base/reversal environment introduced in 03-Feb's Technical Webcast.  As a result of

(C) USDA Weekly Grain Export Sales Recap -by Randy Mittelstaedt
Fundamentals
February 26, 2015; 8:05am

-Disappointing Export Sales report overall
-Corn sales solidly lower than expected
-Soybean sales at bottom end of expectations
-Soybean meal net cancellations
-Wheat sales within expectations, but tepid

(HO) Heating Oil, RBOB Reaffirm Developing Rebounds, Identify New Risk Levels -by Dave Toth
Technicals
February 26, 2015; 7:25am

APR HEATING OIL
Yesterday and overnight's break above recent 1.93-to-1.94-range resistance reaffirms the developing uptrend and leaves smaller- and larger-degree corrective lows in its wake at

(NG) Setback Threatens Apr Nat Gas Base/Reversal Count; $2.713 New S-T Key -by Dave Toth
Technicals
February 26, 2015; 7:10am

Starting with 11-Feb's bullish divergence in momentum and as recently as in 19-Feb's Technical Blog, we have discussed a developing base/reversal threat and have advocated an increasingly bullish policy.  The recent combination of historically

(ES) Overnight Developments - Financials, Metals and Energy
Fundamentals
February 26, 2015; 6:38am

 Eurozone Feb economic confidence rose +0.7 to 102.1, stronger than expectations of +0.8 to 102.0 and the highest in 7 months.  The Feb business climate indicator unexpectedly fell -0.05 to 0.07, weaker than expectations of...

(ES) RJOMRT Preview & Perspectives for Thursday, Feb 26
Fundamentals
February 25, 2015; 6:14pm

  • Unemployment claims remain in favorable shape despite distortions from bad weather
  • Headline CPI expected to dip into deflationary territory
  • Durable goods orders expected to rebound 
  • FHFA U.S. home prices expected to show solid increase 
  • 7-year T-note auction to yield near 1.78% 

(ES) Global Calendar - Thursday 2/26/15
Fundamentals
February 25, 2015; 6:12pm

 Global Calendar - Thursday 2/26/15

(CL) Commodity Calendar - Thursday 2/26/2015
Fundamentals
February 25, 2015; 6:11pm

 Commodity Calendar - Thursday 2/26/2015

(ES) Market Recap - Financials, Metals & Energy
Fundamentals
February 25, 2015; 6:09pm

The S&P 500 index on Wednesday posted a record high, but fell back on profit-taking and closed lower: S&P 500 -0.08%, Dow Jones +0.08%, Nasdaq -0.23%.  Bullish factors included (1) reduced Chinese growth concerns after the China Feb HSBC flash manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose +0.4 to 50.1, stronger than expectations of -0.2 to 49.5, and (2) the -0.2% decline in U.S. Jan new home sales to 481,000, stronger than expectations of -2.3% to 470,000.

Disclaimer

This information is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy the commodities herein named. The factual information of this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to the accuracy, and is not to be construed as representation by R.J. O’Brien & Associates. The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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© Copyright 2008-2015 | R.J.O’Brien Market Research & Trading. | All rights reserved.